Premier Doug Ford's triggering a "provincewide emergency brake".
Ford's announced the brake will take effect Saturday, April 3rd - lasting at least four weeks - prohibiting indoor organized public events and social gatherings while limiting outdoor events to five people - or just one household - while personal care services, indoor and outdoor sports and recreational fitness, and day camps are prohibited.
In-person shopping will be restricted to 50% capacity for grocery stores, convenience stores, and pharmacies - 25% for all other retail, including big box stores - while indoor and outdoor dining's prohibited, though takeout, drive through, and delivery are allowed.
Weddings, funerals, and other religious services will be restricted to 15% occupancy per room indoors, though there is no outdoor limit, except that physical distancing must be maintained - social gatherings associated with these services, like receptions, face the same limits as other social gatherings.
Ontario's Chief Medical Officer of Health and the province's science advisory table had been recommending a provincewide stay-at-home order for at least two weeks - four, in certain areas - with newly released modelling suggesting that could bring cases down to 1000 to 1500 a day by the end of April, otherwise they could hit 6000 a day, a level never seen before in Ontario.
It also suggests ICU admissions could top 800 - double the current amount, which is already the highest of the pandemic - which could force doctors to start implementing a triage protocol, noting two-thirds of all new infections in Ontario involve variants of concern, which are causing more serious forms of COVID-19, including in younger people - that's caused a 41.7% jump in overall hospitalizations over the last two weeks.
Science Table co-chair Dr. Adalsteinn Brown emphasizes that public health measures "only work if people can understand them and follow them", warning "partial measures, half-hearted adherence, and denial" simply risk prolonging and worsening the pandemic.
An open letter from more than 150 Ontario doctors has also called for changes, urging Williams to stop basing restrictions on available ICU beds.
Meanwhile, the NDP are panning the PC government and Premier Doug Ford for disregarding the science table's warnings in February that loosening restrictions amid growing variant cases would lead to a third wave, requiring a spring lockdown.